Wisconsin Badgers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Point Spread
Point Spread Line: Duke -5.5
Moneyline: Wisconsin +380 / -315
Time: 3:30 PM EST Saturday November 22, 2014 on ABC / ESPN2
No. 14 Wisconsin Badgers (8-2) vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (7-3)
It is pretty easy for both of these teams, as if they can win out they will represent the Big 10 West Division in the conference title game. That may be easier for a ranked Wisconsin team, as they have played a tougher schedule and they are the big 9.5-point road favorite in this game.
Iowa has yet to play a ranked team and to play in the title game for the Big 10 they will have to beat Wisconsin and Nebraska, who are both ranked. However, both games are at home and they have won 2 of their last 3 games.
Iowa will be facing Wisconsin RB Melvin Gordon, who is coming off a record game where he rushed for 408 yards and a Badgers D that ranks 3rd in the nation.
In their last games Wisconsin beat Nebraska 59-24 and Iowa beat Illinois 30-14.
Wisconsin is 5-5 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 5-5 and Iowa is 5-5 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 5-5.
On the season Iowa is 4-1 at home and Wisconsin is 2-2 on the road.
Iowa has lost 8 straight games facing teams in the top 25.
Wisconsin is all about the run, as they only rank 119th in the nation in passing yards per game and 3rd in rushing yards per game. That is not a surprise with Gordon running the ball and not only did he set an FBS record last week, but he has rushed for over 200 yards in 2 straight games and over 100 in every game, but 1.
Wisconsin rarely airs it out and overall their offense will be facing an Iowa defense that ranks 46th in the nation against the run, which is obviously key, and 8th against the pass.
While the Hawkeyes do not have a dynamic offense they have a more balanced one than the Badgers.
Iowa QB Jake Rudock had a good game in the win over Illinois and while the Hawkeyes do not have a great WR corps they are a deep one. Still, Iowa may want to hit the ground, as the Badgers have the 3rd ranked pass D in the nation. RB Mark Weisman had his biggest game of the season in the last one rushing for 134 yards and he will face a Wisconsin run defense that ranks 5th in the nation.
Wisconsin is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 games.
Iowa is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall, and they have an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 games between these 2 teams.
Free Wisconsin vs. Iowa Point Spread Pick
We expect a bit of a letdown by the Badgers in this situation, but they are just two wins away from a spot in the Big Ten Championship game. However, we feel that the 10 points is just too much lay against a conference opponent who does have some talent, is at home and still has an outside chance of winning their division.
Our Crew's Pick: Take the Iowa Hawkeyes +10 at Bovada and get yourself a 50% bonus on your first deposit!