USC Trojans vs. UCLA Bruins Point Spread
Point Spread Line: UCLA -4
Moneyline: USC +160 / UCLA -185
Time: 8 PM EST Saturday November 22, 2014 on ABC / WatchESPN
No. 24 USC Trojans (7-3) vs. No. 11 UCLA Bruins (8-3)
This battle of La La Land is HUGE to say the least, as USC leads the Pac 12 South with 2 other teams in 2nd place including UCLA. The Bruins have beat the Trojans 2 straight seasons and they are the betting favorite at home in this big match up.
UCLA is ranked 9th in the BCS playoff rankings and while it is a long-shot they still have a chance to get into the top 4, but they need a lot of help.
Entering the season UCLA QB Brett Hundley was a Heisman contender and while that will not happen this season he has lit up USC for 442 yards with 1 TD and 0 INT facing USC.
In their last games UCLA beat Washington 44-30 and USC beat Cal 38-30.
USC is 6-4 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 4-6 and UCLA is 3-7 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 4-5-1.
This season UCLA is 2-2 at home and USC is 3-2 on the road.
Cody Kessler leads the USC offense and the QB is tied for the conference lead in TD. He only has 3 INT on the season, but 2 have come in the last 3 games. Still, he has passed for a ton of yards in his last 2 games and his main target in WR Nelson Agholor has 2 straight over 200 yards receiving games. That has to be a concern for a UCLA pass D that only ranks 94th in the nation.
USC RB Javorius Allen did not have a great game against Cal, but he has rushed for over 100 yards in 8 of 10 games this season and the Bruins' D must play solid against the run and the pass facing the Trojans.
The UCLA offensive line must keep tabs in star DE Leonard Williams, who is rumored to be the top pick the next NFL draft.
Hundley has put up solid passing numbers this season and he is also the 2nd leading rusher for the Bruins. The USC pass defense has one goal in this game and that is to contain WR Jordan Payton, as he has 839 receiving yards while the next leading target has 363.
Paul Perkins leads the USC rushing offense and he has rushed for over 100 yards in 4 games this season including doing so against Texas, Oregon, Arizona State, and Utah.
USC ranks 38th in the nation in overall defense and like UCLA they must defend the pass and the run.
USC is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win, and they have an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
UCLA is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and they have an Over record of 10-4-1 in their last 15 home games.
UCLA is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against USC.
Free USC at UCLA Point Spread Pick
The Trojans just aren't as strong on the road as at home racking up an average of 389 YPG while allowing 433 YPG to their opponents. The point spread is low enough that we feel confident taking the home side here.
Our Crew's Pick: Take the UCLA Bruins -4 at Bovada and get yourself a 50% bonus on your first deposit!