USC Trojans vs. Oregon State Beavers Betting Pick
Opening Line: Oregon State -5
Time: 9 PM EST Friday November 1, 2013 on ESPN2 / Watch ESPN
Oregon State had won 6 straight games after their season opening shocking loss to Eastern Washington, but they lost to Stanford last week and that might have dashed their chances at a Pac 12 title berth. Still, they can snag a great bowl game by finishing well.
To say the Beavers are all about the aerial attack is an understatement, as they have the nation's top-ranked passing offense, but only rank 122nd in rushing offense.
USC has not had a great season, but they have won 2 of their last 3 games and they are tied with 3 other teams at 2-2 in the Pac 12 South Division. They still have a chance to play in the conference title game, but they need help since they already lost to Arizona State, who sit at 3-1 in the division.
In their last games USC beat Utah 19-3 and Oregon State lost to Stanford 20-12.
USC is 3-5 ATS with an Over/Under record of 2-6 and Oregon State is 4-4 ATS with an Over/Under record of 5-3.
OSU QB Sean Mannion has passed for 3,263 yards this season with 30 TD and he only has 3 INT. 6 players have at least 200 receiving yards for the Beavers led by Brandin Cooks, who leads the nation in receiving yards. USC has the nation's 30th ranked pass defense and in their last 2 games their secondary has played well.
One big key for the Trojans will be getting to Mannion and their pass rush ranks 10th in the nation with 26 sacks.
USC has the nation's 15th ranked run defense, but will the Beavers even try to run? They only average 66.6 rushing yards per game and their top 2 RB's have less than 230 yards and each averages less than 3.5 yards per carry.
QB Cody Kessler had a good game against Utah passing for 231 yards with 1 TD and 0 INT. Marqise Lee was a Heisman candidate coming into the season, but he has missed 2 of the last 3 games with a knee injury and is questionable for this game. However, Kessler still has some good targets and will face an OSU pass defense that ranks 85th in the nation.
Oregon State's strength on defense is their 35th ranked run defense, but in the loss to Stanford they gave up 185 yards on the ground. Tre Madden leads the USC rushing offense and with the 2nd leading RB out he may get most of the carries.Betting Trends
USC is 4-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games, and they have an Under record of 8-2 in their last 10 games.
Oregon State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 9-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Over record of 6-2 in their last 8 home games.
Oregon State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against USC.
Total Line Pick
Take the UNDER 52.5 at Gtbets