UCLA Bruins vs. Stanford Cardinal Betting Pick
Opening Line: Stanford -4.5
Time: 3:30 PM EST Saturday October 19, 2013 on ABC / ESPN2
Stanford is coming off a shocking loss to Utah, which really hurt their BCS chances since they face UCLA this week and 2nd ranked Oregon in the beginning of next month.
The Bruins are undefeated and have already beaten a ranked Nebraska team, but this is when we find out if they are legitimate BCS contenders facing Stanford and at Oregon next week. UCLA has a balanced offense and a solid defense that ranks 19th in the nation giving up an average of 18.2 ppg.
In their last games UCLA beat California 37-10 and Stanford lost to Utah 27-20.
UCLA is 5-0 ATS with an Over/Under record of 2-3 and Stanford is 2-4 ATS with an Over/Under record of 4-2.
Last season Stanford beat UCLA 27-24 and the Bruins have not beaten the Cardinal since the 2008 season.
The Stanford defense will have their hands full facing UCLA QB Brett Hundley, who has passed for 1,469 yards with 4 TD and has also rushed for 260 yards with 3 TD. He has a deep WR corps with 3 players that have at least 220 receiving yards on the season. Stanford's pass defense has struggled this season only ranking 93rd in the nation and they gave up 234 passing yards to Utah last week.
The Cardinal really struggled to contain the run last week allowing Utah to rush for 176 yards. UCLA RB Jordon James missed the last game with an ankle injury, but should go in this game and the Bruins really need him.
QB Kevin Hogan, who has passed for 1,178 yards with 12 TD and 4 INT, leads Stanford's offense. The one player the Bruins' D must key on is WR Ty Montgomery, who has 514 yards with 5 TD on the season and in the last 2 games has scored a TD off a kickoff return. He is a big play guy that UCLA and their 35th ranked pass defense must keep in check.
Tyler Gaffney had a solid game in the loss to Utah with 108 rushing yards and he has 7 TD on the season. UCLA ranks 40th in the nation in run defense and unlike Stanford they played good run defense in their win over Utah a couple of weeks back.Betting Trends
UCLA is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and they have an Over record of 6-2 in their last 8 conference games.
Stanford is 27-11-1 ATS in their last 39 games overall, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss, and they have an Over record of 19-9 in their last 28 home games.
Stanford is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games facing UCLA.
Against the Spread Pick
Take the Stanford Cardinal -4.5 at Gtbets