UCF Knights vs. East Carolina Pirates Point Spread
Point Spread Line: East Carolina -7
Moneyline: UCF +225 / East Carolina -245
Time: 7:30 PM EST Thursday December 4, 2014 on ESPN / WatchESPN
UCF Knights (8-3) vs. East Carolina Pirates (8-3)
UCF can win a share of the American Conference title with a win over East Carolina, but they are the 5.5-point road underdog. On top of that the Pirates are undefeated at home on the season (5-0). The Knights have won 3 straight and the reason they are winning is their defense, which ranks 5th in the nation. They have to play solid D, as they have a less than dynamic offense.
East Carolina has won 2 straight and they have the nation's 3rd ranked passing offense led by QB Shane Carden, who has passed for over 3,900 yards this season with 25 TD and only 6 INT.
In their last games East Carolina beat Tulsa 49-32 and UCF beat South Florida 16-0.
UCF is 7-4 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 5-6 and East Carolina is 5-6 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 5-6.
On the season East Carolina is 5-0 at home and UCF is 2-2 on the road.
Carden has passed for over 330 yards in each of his last 3 games and he has a great WR duo in Justin Hardy and Cam Worthy, who have combined for over 2,000 receiving yards on the season. UCF has the nation's 6th ranked pass defense and they also have a good pass rush with 28 sacks in 11 games.
While the Pirates are a pass-first team they have a decent rushing offense led by Breon Allen, who has struggled in the last couple of games. He and Chris Hairston have t o run the ball well to take some pressure off Carden.
The defense is key for the Knights, as they only rank 66th in the nation in passing yards per game and 105th in rushing yards per game. QB Justin Holman leads the offense and he has 3 TD and 3 INT in his last 2 games. Breshad Perriman is the leading receiver for the Knights and is averaging over 20 yards per reception on the season.
Holman will be facing an East Carolina defense that is stronger against the run, as their pass D ranks 104th in the nation.
The UCF RB duo of William Stanback and William Stanback a re banged up and neither played in the last game. Each is averaging fewer than 4 yards per carry on the season, but some backups came up big in the win over South Florida and UCF rushed for 145 yards in the game.
UCF is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
East Carolina is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall, and they have an Over record of 6-2 in their last 8 home games.
UCF is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games facing East Carolina.
Free UCF vs. East Carolina Point Spread Pick
We're not going to go on a limb and say that Central Florida is the better team, but we do think that they are closer than the 7 point spread suggests.
Our Crew's Pick: Take the UCF Knights +7 at Bovada and get yourself a 50% bonus on your first deposit!