Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas State Wildcats Betting Pick
Opening Line: Kansas State -7.5
Time: 3:30 PM EST Saturday October 27, 2012 on FOX
With Kansas State (7-0) with an impressive performance crushing a ranked West Virginia team last week they leap-frogged Oregon to become the 3rd ranked team in the nation. Texas Tech (6-1) has beaten 2 ranked teams in a row including a barnburner last week and their passing offense ranks 4th in the nation. Texas Tech and their 34th ranked defense will be facing a great rushing offense of the Wildcats led by Heisman candidate QB Collin Klein, who had a stellar game last week and ranks 2nd on KSU in rushing yards.
In their last week Kansas State was impressive on both sides of the ball in their 55-14 win over West Virginia and Texas Tech beat TCU 55-53 in OT.
Texas Tech is 6-1 ATS with an O/U record of 3-3 and Kansas State is 5-1-1 ATS with an O/U record of 3-3.
While KSU is led by their rushing offense Klein can air it out and in the win over West Virginia he was 19/21 for 323 yards with 3 TD and 0 INT. He has not been picked off in his last 4 games and WRís Tyler Lockett, who had 194 receiving yards last week, and Chris Harper are solid targets. Texas Tech has the nationís 12th ranked pass defense, but they gave up 332 passing yards against TCU.
John Hubert has not run the ball well in the last couple of games, but he and Klein, who has 146 rushing yards in his last 2 games, have combined for over 1,200 rushing yards this season. Tech ranks 20th in the nation, but like their pass D they struggled last week giving up 182 yards on the ground.
Kansas Stateís weakness on D is their pass defense, which ranks 62nd in the nation, but they held Gino Smith and WVU to only 155 passing yards. They have a tall task in this game facing Tech QB Seth Doege, who passed for 318 yards with 7 TD and 0 INT in the OT win over TCU. The Red Raiders have a deep WR corps and it is key that their offensive line plays well against a KSU pass rush that has 18 sacks on the season.
Tech only rushed for 71 yards last week against TCU and while they have a couple of backs that have over 300 rushing yards the pass offense is the key for them winning. On top of that Kansas State has the nationís 11th ranked run defense.
Last season at Texas Tech the Wildcats beat the Red Raiders 41-34 with Tech committing 4 turnovers.Betting Trends
Texas Tech is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Over record of 7-2 in their last 9 road games.
Kansas State is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games, and they have an Over record of 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
Texas Tech has covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 games facing Kansas State.
ATS Game Pick
The linesmaker tossed in the hook in hopes of getting some Red Raiders action. He won't be getting it from me.'
Take Kansas State -7.5