Stanford Cardinal vs. USC Trojans Betting Pick
Opening Line: Stanford -4
Time: 8 PM EST Saturday November 16, 2013 on ABC
Stanford came up with a HUGE win over Oregon last week and they are now in the driver's seat to play in the Pac 12 title game. They have to get by USC and then a 1-9 Cal team next week to advance to the championship game. The Cardinal have won 3 straight after their upset loss to Utah and all 3 games were facing ranked teams.
USC has won 3 straight and are still in the Pac 12 South title race, but they need help since they have 2 conference losses and Arizona State, who the Trojans lost to, only have 1. The Trojans have not faced a ranked team all season and if they can win this game they can dramatically improve the bowl they play in.
2 of USC's 3 losses this season have been very low scoring games where the Trojans' offense struggled.
Last season Stanford beat USC 21-14 and they have not lost to the Trojans since the 2008 season.
In their last games Stanford beat Oregon 26-20 and USC beat California 62-28.
Stanford is 5-4 ATS with an Over/Under record of 4-5 and USC is 5-5 ATS with an Over/Under record of 3-7.
One of the main reasons the Cardinal have won 3 straight is the play of RB Tyler Gaffney. In the last 3 games he has rushed for 171, 145, and 157 yards respectively and combined for 6 TD. He faces a test in this game since the USC rushing defense ranks 17th in the nation.
USC has the nation's 55th ranked pass defense and while Stanford's strength is running the ball Kevin Hogan can air it out (1,596 yards 13 TD) and he has a big play WR in Ty Montgomery, who is averaging over 15 yards per catch.
Look for Cody Kesler to get the start this week and while he did not have to pass much in the Cal game he had 2 TD and 0 INT. WR Marqise Lee did not have big game against Cal, but in the big Oregon State win he had 105 receiving yards. Kesler may have to be THE man in this game, as he faces a Stanford pass defense that only ranks 98th in the nation and gave up 250 yards in the air in the win over Oregon.
Probably the main reason Stanford beat Oregon last week is that they held the Ducks to only 62 rushing yards. Their run D ranks 9th in the nation and they will face a hot USC RB in Javorius Allen, who has rushed for over 130 yards in each of his last 2 games.Betting Trends
Stanford is 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, 10-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Under record of 7-3 in their last 10 road games.
USC is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win, and they have an Under record of 9-3 in their last 12 games.
Stanford is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against USC.
Against the Spread Pick
Take the Stanford Cardinal -4 at GTBets