Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers Point Spread Pick
Opening Line: 49ers -2.5
Seattle won for the seventh-straight time on Monday night, blowing out New Orleans 34-7. San Francisco completed a season sweep of St. Louis, winning 23-13 on Sunday. The Seahawks crushed the 48ers 29-3 in week 2.
The Seahawks love to run the ball (146 ypg) but know there will be tough sledding in this matchup. The 49ers' run defense isn't as good as last season but they are still holding opponents to only 105.5 ypg. RB Marshawn Lynch is averaging 4.3 ypc and expect him to get the lion's share of carries this week. San Fran has a very physical front seven but Lynch can power through for extra yards as well as any back in the league. QB Russell Wilson is also capable of gaining yards on the ground but he has become better at staying in the pocket and going through his progressions. WR Percy Harvin missed last week's game but should be back for this encounter. He can line up wide, in the slot or even in the backfield. Seattle has played most of the year without a true No.1 receiver and Wilson has become adept at spreading the ball around. The 49ers pass rush isn't as good as it has been in recent years but Wilson has to know when to tuck the ball and run. He is also very capable of making good throws on the move.
San Francisco's offense is averaging only 20 points per game over the last four games as they have become over-reliant on the run. The return of WR Michael Crabtree helps but this is still a team that wants to run the ball 30-40 times a game if possible. Seattle's run defense has been almost the same statistically as the 49ers in 2013. They are not easy to run on and they have good speed in their front seven. RB Frank Gore is the lead dog but he does have some clunker games every once in a while. QB Colin Kaepernick was a dynamic runner in 2012 but hasn't had the same impact this year. He is trying to become a better pocket passer but his completion pct. is only 57.8, a full seven points behind Wilson. He also loses accuracy when he throws on the move. The Seahawks have had some upheaval in their secondary but held New Orleans QB Drew Brees to only 147 yards passing last week. Crabtree joins WR Anquan Boldin and TE Vernon Davis, the only two 49ers with more than 18 catches. There are also some injury concerns with LG Mike Iupati and LT Joe Staley (check status) and that could spell trouble in the passing game.
ATS Game Pick
Seattle has won the last two matchups by 29 and 26 points. They are a little better on offense and both defenses can bring it. While the Seahawks are a better team at home, they are actually 7-2 SU in their last nine games away from home. We feel Wilson gives them a decided edge at QB and that they can win this game outright but we will still takes the points.
Our Crew's Pick: Take the Seahawks +2.5 +100 at GtBets and get yourself a 100% bonus on your first deposit!