Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns Spread Pick
Opening Line: Cleveland -1
Pittsburgh won for the fourth time in the past six weeks with a 37-27 decision over Detroit last Sunday. Cleveland lost for the fourth time in their past five outings, getting blasted 41-20 by Cincinnati last week.
The Steelers averaged only 18 ppg in their first seven contests but have bumped that up to 30 over their past three. QB Ben Roethlisberger has been given a little more time to throw and has shined; throwing four TD passes in two of the past three games. WR Antonio Brown has easily outperformed the player he replaced, Miami's WR Mike Wallace, and has totaled 74-952-5. He'll be matched up with soon-to-be All Pro CB Joe Haden and Big Ben will have to spread the ball around. Fortunately, WR Jerricho Cotchery has stepped up his play and become a nice complement to Brown. Cleveland's aggressive 3-4 front applies good pressure on opposing QBs (31 sacks). While it's been a struggle at times for rookie RB LeVeon Bell, he has done just enough to keep defenses honest. Don't look for the Steelers to abandon the run if they fall behind early.
During their recent run of poor play, the Browns have averaged only 18 ppg over that five-game span. QB Jason Campbell started strongly but looked hesitant at times last week and threw three picks. That's the old Jason Campbell rearing its ugly head. WR Josh Gordon has emerged as a true playmaker and can make plays downfield. He will draw a lot of attention from the Pittsburgh secondary. TE Jordan Cameron started the year like gangbusters but his productivity has fallen off with Campbell's ascendency. Browns' QBs have been sacked 34 times this year and look for Def. Co. Dick LeBeau to dial up some exotic blitz packages for the immobile Campbell to deal with. Cleveland has used a RB-by-committee approach since the trading of RB Trent Richardson but RB Chris Ogbonnaya seems to be the favorite now. The Steelers run defense isn't what it has been in recent years but the Browns average just 84 ypg on the ground.
ATS Game Pick
Both of these teams are 4-6 but they are trending in opposite directions. Pittsburgh realizes they are still in the hunt for a wild card spot and have improved their play on offense. They are also 10-2 SU in their last 12 visits to Cleveland. We feel the visitors have a huge edge at the QB spot and that will lead them to a big road cover.
Our Crew's Pick: Take the Pittsburgh Steelers +1 at GtBets and get yourself a 100% bonus on your first deposit!