Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers Betting Pick

Betting Odds

Opening Line: Nebraska -7.5
Over/Under: 53.5

Time: 3:30 PM EST Saturday November 10, 2012 on ABC / ESPN2

After a bad start losing their first 2 games Penn State (6-3) has gotten back on track and while they cannot play in a bowl this season they can really throw a wrench in Nebraska’s (7-2) BCS bowl hopes with a win over the Huskers. Nebraska is tied with Michigan atop the Big 10 Legends division and after this game they do not face any more ranked teams while Michigan has to play Ohio State in their season finale.

The Huskers have won 3 straight and they have not lost at home this season. The big match up in this conference games has to be Nebraska and their 6th ranked rushing offense facing Penn State and their 26th ranked run defense.

In their last games Nebraska beat Michigan State 28-24 and Penn State crushed Purdue 34-9.

Nebraska is 7-2 ATS with an O/U record of 4-5 and Penn State is 5-4 ATS with an O/U record of 5-3.

Penn State will be facing a Nebraska rushing offense that racked up 313 rushing yards in the win over Michigan State. Duel threat QB Taylor Martinez rushed for 205 yards in the win over MSU while RB Ameer Abdullah rushed for 110 yards.

Martinez can air it out with a decent WR corps, but the Huskers are much better when they can run the ball. PSU ranks 43rd in the nation in pass defense and in the Michigan State win Martinez completed less than 50% of his passes (16/36) and while he tossed 2 TD he also threw 3 INT.

Penn State’s strength on offense is their passing offense and that matches up well with Nebraska, who rank 5th in the nation in pass defense. PSU QB Matthew McGloin has passed for over 320 yards in each of his last 2 games and WR Allen Robinson (57 rec 689 yards 8 TD) is his main target.

Penn State RB Zach Zwinak had his best game of the season in the win over Purdue with 134 rushing yards and the Nittany Lions may want to go on the ground more in this game since the Nebraska rushing defense only ranks 87th in the nation. They gave up 238 yards in the close win over Michigan State and in both of their losses this season their run defense was torched giving up over 340 rushing yards in each game.

Last season Nebraska beat Penn State 17-14.

Betting Trends

Penn State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 5-11-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Nebraska is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 home games.

ATS Game Pick

The Nittany Lions have lost only one time in their last seven games with that being a 8 point set back against Ohio State. The Cornhuskers may have turned the corner with three straight wins over solid competition. However, the only common opponent they faced were the Buckeyes and Nebraska was hammered 63-38 in that game.
Take Penn State +8 at Bovada

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