Ole Miss Rebels vs. TCU Horned Frogs Point Spread
Point Spread Line: TCU -3
Moneyline: Mississippi +140 / TCU -160
Time: 12:30 PM EST Wednesday December 31, 2014 on ESPN / WatchESPNChick-Fil-A Peach Bowl Preview No. 9 Ole Miss (9-3) vs. No. 6 TCU (11-1)
Well, TCU cannot be happy to be playing in the Peach Bowl, as they think they deserved a shot in the top 4 of the BCS playoffs. However, it did not turn out that way and they are a 3-point favorite facing Ole Miss in this bowl game.
Ole Miss was in the running for the BCS playoffs after the first half of the season, but they ended up losing 3 of their last 5 games. Still, they have the nation's top-ranked defense, they played in the killer SEC West Division, and they scored a big win in the season finale beating rival Mississippi State.
This season Ole Miss is 3-2 facing ranked teams and TCU is 4-1.
This game is being held at a neutral site in Atlanta Georgia.
In their last games of the regular season Ole Miss beat Mississippi State 31-17 and TCU beat Iowa State 55-3.
Ole Miss is 7-4-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 2-9 and TCU is 10-2 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 8-4.
The big match up in this game may be Ole Miss defense facing a TCU passing offense that ranks 7th in the nation. Trevone Boykin passed for 3,714 yards with 30 TD and only 7 INT and he had over 1,000 passing yards combined in the last 3 games. He has a solid WR corps led by Josh Doctson and the Ole Miss pass D ranks 16th in the nation, but their pass rush is decent at best.
TCU can also run the ball with Aaron Green, who rushed for over 100 yards in 3 of the last 4 games this season, and Boykin, who is the team's 2nd leading rusher. Ole Miss ranks 29th in the nation in run defense and in the last game facing MSU they gave up 163 yards on the ground.
Bo Wallace leads the Ole Miss offense and while he had a big season he has to avoid the turnover. In his last 3 games he had only 2 TD and had 4 INT. While the Rebels do not have a star WR that corps is deep with 4 players with at least 530 receiving yards. Wallace may have a big game, as TCU played in the pass-happy Big 12 and they only ranked 85th in the nation in pass defense.
After not having a 100-yard rushing game all season Ole Miss RB Jaylen Walton had 148 in the season finale because of a 91-yard run. He will have a hard time duplicating that feat facing a TCU run defense that ranks 13th in the nation.
Ole Miss is 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and they have an Under record of 12-2 in their last 14 games.
TCU is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games overall, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games, and they have an Over record of 10-4 in their last 14 games.
Free Point Spread Pick
It won't be easy but this team would be undefeated if not falling asleep at the wheel with a big lead against Baylor on the road.
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