Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Longhorns Betting Pick
Opening Line: Oklahoma State -3
Time: 3:30 PM EST Saturday November 16, 2013 on FOX
Texas did not get off to a good start this season, but they have won 6 straight and they and Baylor are the only unbeaten teams in Big 12 play. Oklahoma State has won 5 straight and they only have one conference loss. The conference is still up for grabs between these 2 teams and Baylor, who each team still has to face this season.
For the first time in a few seasons the Cowboys have a solid defense, ranking 20th in the nation, and in their last 3 games their offense has come alive averaging just over 50 ppg.
Last season Texas beat Oklahoma State 41-36.
In their last games Texas beat Virginia Tech 47-40 in OT and Oklahoma State beat Kansas 42-6.
Oklahoma State is 6-3 ATS with an Over/Under record of 4-5 and Texas is 5-4 ATS with an Over/Under record of 5-4.
Texas has a balanced offense ranking 38th in rushing yards per game and 51st in passing yards per game. In the win over West Virginia the Longhorns racked up 435 yards (283 passing 152 rushing). In the game Case McCoy was solid with 3 TD and 1 INT and he has a couple of good targets in the WR duo of Jaxon Shipley and Mike Davis. OSU has had their issues against the pass this season only ranking 84th in the nation.
Texas suffered a big blow in the WVU win, as leading RB Johnathan Gray was lost for the season with an Achilles injury. Malcolm Brown (442 yards 8 TD) will be the lead RB and will face a good OSU run defense that ranks 27th in the nation.
Texas has ranks 21st in the nation defending the pass, but they gave up 290 passing yards in the WVU game. Senior Cliff Chelf will get the start in this game and he has not since becoming the starter a few weeks back. He has a good WR corps and even though Texas had their issues in the their pass defense last week they have an athletic secondary that had 2 picks.
Desmond Roland is the lead RB for OSU, but he has struggled in his last two games. He and Jeremy Smith will be up against a Texas run defense that gave up 109 rushing yards last week, but only ranks 84th in the nation overall.
Texas defense came up with 5 turnovers last week.Betting Trends
Oklahoma State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they have an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
Texas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win, 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and they have an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
The road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 games between these 2 teams.
Against the Spread Pick
Take Oklahoma City -3 at GTBets