Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Florida State Seminoles Point Spread
Point Spread Line: Florida State -10
Time: 8 PM EST Saturday October 18, 2014 on ABC
No. 5 Notre Dame (6-0) vs. No. 2 Florida State (6-0)
Florida State should be concentrating on this HUGE game facing Notre Dame, but now there is a new issue with Heisman winning QB Jameis Winston. He is expected to play, but he is embroiled in a controversy after possibly taking money for autographs, which is why this season's Heisman front-runner RB Todd Gurley from Georgia was indefinitely suspended. However, all things aside Winston should play and the Seminoles are a double-digit home favorite.
Since 1999 Notre Dame is only 1-16 facing teams ranked in the top 5.
The Irish are led by their defense, which is the 8th ranked unit in the nation. However, in their last game they gave up 501 total yards (326 passing 184 rushing) to North Carolina, who are 2-4 and are considered to be one of the more disappointing teams in the nation this season.
Winston leads a Seminoles offense that ranks 13th in the nation in passing yards per game and 20th in points per game. The FSU defense gave up the fewest points per game in the nation last season, but this season their D only ranks 30th.
In their last games Notre Dame beat North Carolina 50-43 and Florida State beat Syracuse 38-20.
Notre Dame is 4-2 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 2-4 and Florida State is 1-5 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 3-3.
This season Florida State is 3-0 at home and Notre Dame is 1-0 on the road.
Florida State has won 22 straight games.
Notre Dame QB Everett Golson is getting some Heisman buzz and while he has passed for at least 300 yards in 2 of his last 3 games he has 4 INT in his last 3 games. Florida State and their 40th ranked pass defense really has to worry about ND leading WR William Fuller, who has 35 catches for 504 yards and 7 TD this season.
Tarean Folston is the leading RB for the Irish and he had his best game of the season in the win over North Carolina. Golson is the 2nd leading rusher for the team, but he is only averaging 3.5 yards per carry.
Winston has a great WR corps led by one of the best in the nation in Rashad Greene (44 rec 683 yards 3 TD) and it will be key that the Notre Dame pass rush gets to the QB. If they play pass D like in the North Carolina game Notre Dame will get crushed.
FSU has some injury issues at the RB position, but Mario Pender is expected to get the start after getting his first career start in the win over Syracuse.
Notre Dame is 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss, and they have an Under record of 27-11-1 in their last 39 road games.
Florida State is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall, and they have an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Point Spread Pick
The Seminoles have a lot of distractions this week but are the superior team and with the lline falling to 10 we believe that their is value in the line.
Our Crew's Pick: Take the Florida State Seminoles -10 at Bovada and get yourself a 50% bonus on your first deposit!