North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils Point Spread
Point Spread Line: Duke -5.5
Moneyline: North Carolina/ +190/Duke -210
Time: 7:30 PM EST Thursday November 20, 2014 on ESPN / WatchESPN
North Carolina (5-5) vs. No. 25 Duke (8-2)
This game is HUGE for both teams, as Duke can inch closer to wrapping up the ACC Coastal Division while North Carolina can become bowl eligible. Duke is coming off a loss, which snapped their 4-game losing streak, but at home in this big rivalry they are the 6-point betting favorite.
Duke has the fewest turnovers in the SEC with 9, but 6 have come in their last 2 games. They will be facing a North Carolina defense that is one of the worst in the nation ranking 125th giving up an average of 41.2 ppg.
While the Tar Heels rely on their offense to win the Blue Devils are led by their defense, which ranks 11th in the nation.
Duke has not faced Florida State in conference play, but if they win out there is a good chance they will do so in the ACC title game.
In their last games North Carolina beat Pittsburgh 40-35 and Duke lost to Virginia Tech 17-16.
UNC is 4-6 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 5-4 and Duke is 6-3-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 2-7.
On the season Duke is 4-1 at home and UNC is 1-4 on the road.
Duke QB Anthony Boone has to forget about the loss to Virginia Tech where he was only 18/40 for 181 yards with 0 TD and 2 INT. Jamison Crowder is, by far, his top target and has 767 yards with 4 TD on the season. While turnovers have plagued Duke lately they have only had 2 in their last 2 games facing the Tar Heels. The Tar Heels' D has really struggled this season, but one bright spot is that they have forced 20 turnovers this season.
The strength of the Duke offense is their rushing offense, but the RB duo of Shaquille Powell and Shaun Wilson has really struggled as of late. The North Carolina run defense only ranks 113th in the nation and even in the win over Pitt they gave up 305 rushing yards.
With the D the Tar Heels have the offense may have to light up the scoreboard and that is mostly on duel-threat QB Marquise Williams. He also leads the Tar Heels in rushing yards and is coming off a big game facing Pitt where he passed for 1 TD with 0 INT and also rushed for 122 yards. He has a talented WR corps, but if Duke can contain him and not allow him to have a big game they should easily win this ACC battle.
UNC is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win, and they have an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games after a S.U. win.
Duke is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games, -0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss, and they have an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.
The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between these 2 teams.
Free North Carolina vs. Duke Point Spread Pick
We think that the tar heels can keep pace with the Blue Devils and should be in this throughout.
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