New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears Point Spread Pick
Point Spread Line: Saints -3
Moneyline: New Orleans -155 / Chicago +135
Time: 8:30 PM EST Monday December 15, 2014 on ESPN / WatchESPN
New Orleans Saints (5-8) vs. Chicago Bears (5-8)
Both the Saints and the Bears are at 5-8 this season and while Chicago is out of the playoff picture New Orleans is tied with the Falcons atop the weak NFC South. The Saints are coming off a blowout loss to the Panthers, who are still alive for the playoff picture even at 4-8-1.
The Bears have lost 2 straight, but they have a decent offense and will face a Saints' team that has given up at least 27 points in 5 straight games. New Orleans is giving up the 2nd most yards per game in the league and they face a Chicago team that is giving up the most points per game.
The Saints are the 3-point betting favorite on the road, where they have won 2 straight games.
In their last games the Bears lost to the Dallas Cowboys 41-28 and the Saints lost to the Carolina Panthers 41-10.
The Saints are 5-8 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 10-3 and the Bears are 5-8 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 8-5.
This season the Bears are 2-4 at home and the Saints are 2-4 on the road.
Drew Brees has the weapons at his disposal with the likes of WR's Kenny Stills and Marques Colston and TE Jimmy Graham, but he has to forget about the Carolina game where he had the fewest passing yards this season. He has won 2 straight starts facing Chicago with 5 TD and 0 INT. The Bears' pass defense only ranks 30th in the league and it is key that their pass rush, which is decent at best, get to Brees in the pocket.
The Bears were torched on the ground last week allowing Dallas' DeMarco Murray to rush for 179 yards. After a 122-yard rushing performance against the Steelers Saints RB Mark Ingram rushed for 43 yards against Carolina and he lost a fumble. The Bears run D ranks 16th in the league and they have to play better then they did facing the Cowboys.
Jay Cutler has a decent WR corps, but big play receiver Brandon Marshall is out for the season with an injury against Dallas. It is key that Cutler not turn the ball over and while he has put up big numbers this season turnovers have killed the Bears and he has 3 INT in the last 2 games.
Bears' RB Matt Forte has only combine to rush for 32 yards in the last 2 games, but he does have 126 receiving yards in those games.
The Saints rank 29th in the league in both pass and run defense and they gave up 41 points to a Carolina team that has struggled to put points on the board this season.
Chicago: 5-8 SU 5-8 ATS
The Saints are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and they have an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
The Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall, 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games, and they have an Over record of 22-9 in their last 31 games.
Free Against the Spread Pick
Sure the Bears have a ton of injuries, but they have won two of their last 3 at home and didn't play that poorly against the Cowboys. The Saints have won one game in their last 5 and are favored here?
Our Crew's Pick: Take the Chicago Bears +3 at Bovada and get yourself a 100% bonus on your first deposit!