New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers Point Spread Pick

Betting Odds

Point Spread Line: New Orleans -2
Moneyline: Saints -140 / Panthers +120
Over/Under: 48

Time: 8:25 PM EST Thursday, October 20, 2014, ESPN

New Orleans Saints (3-4) vs. Carolina Panthers (3-4-1)

First place in the NFC South is at stake this Thursday night when the Panthers host the Saints. No team in the division is above .500 and the Saints are coming off their best game of the season in their last game snapping the Green Bay Packers' 4-game winning streak with a 44-23 home win.

The Saints are the 2-point road betting favorite in this game, but they are winless on the road this season.

After a solid 2-0 start the Panthers only have one win since and they are winless in their last 3 games with 2 straight losses and a tie. They have played 2 tough teams in their last 2 games in the Seahawks and the Packers, but in those games their offense struggled, as they only combined for 26 points.

Last season these teams split the 2 games with each winning at home.

In their last games the Saints beat the Green Bay Packers 44-23 and the Panthers lost to the Seattle Seahawks 13-9.

The Saints are 3-4 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 6-1 and the Panthers are 5-3 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 5-3.

This season the Panthers are 2-2 at home and the Saints are 0-4 on the road.

Drew Brees had a great game in the win over Green Bay with 311 passing yards with 3 TD and 0 INT. He has a solid WR corps and one of the best TE's in the league in Jimmy Graham. The Panthers only rank 18th in the league in pass defense, but that unit played well in the loss to Seattle. However, they only had 1 sack in the game and overall they rank 17th in the league in sacks. Pressuring Brees in the pocket will be key for Carolina in this game.

The Saints have some injury issues at the RB position and in the Green Bay game Mark Ingram stepped up and rushed for a career high 172 yards. The Panthers rank 28th in the league in run defense and in the Seattle loss they gave up 119 rushing yards.

Cam Newton has not been playing well with only 1 TD and 2 INT in the last 2 games and he has had 1 INT in 4 straight games. Rookie WR Kelvin Benjamin and TE Greg Olson each have over 500 receiving yards and while the Saints and their 31st ranked pass defense gave up over 400 passing yards to the Packers they only gave up 1 TD and had 2 INT and their pass rush had 3 sacks.

Newton has not got much help from the rushing offense, but Jonathan Stewart had a decent game in the Seattle loss. New Orleans has a good run defense and they held Green Bay to only 89 rushing yards in the home win.

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
New Orleans: 3-4 SU 3-4 ATS
Carolina: 3-4-1 SU 5-3 ATS
Key Betting Trends

The Saints are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games, 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, and they have an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.

The Panthers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home games, 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss, and they have an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.

The Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against the Saints.

Sagarin Power Rankings
New Orleans: 22.87
Carolina Panthers: 17.96 Next Game
San Francisco at New Orleans
Carolina at Philadelphia

Free Against the Spread Pick

The Saints are much better than their record suggests losing late to Atlanta, Cleveland and Detorit. They've had only one poor performance a -3 turnover game against the Cowboys. This could be a pattern for New Orleans to lose games late that they should have won, but we're willing to give them another shot here at Carolina.
Our Crew's Pick: Take the New Orleans Saints -2 at GTBets and get yourself a 100% bonus on your first deposit!

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