Missouri Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogs Betting Pick
Opening Line: Georgia -7.5
Time: 12 PM EST Saturday October 12, 2013 on ESPN / WatchESPN
Missouri is undefeated and they entered the top 25 after their last win. They now are almost double-digit underdogs on the road facing 7th ranked Georgia, who is 4-1. The Bulldogs got a scare in their last game beating an unranked Tennessee team in OT and while their offense has been solid their defense only ranks 95th in the nation.
Missouri is the nation’s 8th highest scoring team and they have played good run defense, but their pass defense has struggled, big time, and they have yet to play a solid team.
Georgia is 3-0 in SEC play and Missouri is 1-0.
Missouri is 4-0-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 3-2 and Georgia is 1-3-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 5-0.
In their last games Missouri beat Vanderbilt 51-28 and Georgia beat Tennessee 34-31 in OT.
Bulldogs’ QB Andy Murray passed for 196 yards with 3 TD and 0 INT in the Tennessee game and his top 2 targets of Chris Conley and Justin Scott Wesley. Both of these WR’s are averaging over 15 yards per catch and each has over 300 receiving yards on the season. Missouri only ranks 113th in the nation in pass defense and it is key that their 15th ranked pass rush gets to Murray.
Georgia lead RB Todd Gurley (450 yards 4 TD) missed the Tennessee game and he is a question mark for this big conference game. 2nd leading RB Keith Marshall is out for the year with a knee injury and J.J. Green (194 yards) may have to shoulder the rushing load. The Tigers rank a solid 26th in run defense.
Mizzou QB James Franklin has passed for 1,407 yards this season with 13 YTD and 3 INT and in his last 2 games he has 7 TD and 0 INT. Georgia only ranks 97th in the nation in pass defense and will be up against the Tigers’ WR duo of Dorial Green-Beckham (23 rec 364 yards 4 TD) and L'Damian Washington (22 rec 340 yards 5 TD).
The Bulldogs’ run defense has been better than their pass D ranking 42nd in the nation, but they gave up 189 rushing yards in the Tennessee game. The Mizzou RB duo of Russell Hansbrough and Henry Josey each has over 300 rushing yards and lead the nation’s 8th ranked rushing offense.Betting Trends
Missouri is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games, and they have an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
Georgia is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games, and they have an Over record of 7-0 in their last 7 games.
Against the Spread Pick
Take the Missouri Tigers +7.5 at Gtbets