Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Point Spread
Point Spread Line: Alabama -10
Moneyline: Bulldogs +290 / Alabama -350
Time: 3:30 PM EST Saturday November 15, 2014 on CBS
No. 1 Mississippi State (9-0) vs. No. 4 Alabama (8-1)
While Alabama is the 4th ranked team in the AP poll they are currently on the outside looking in, as the 5th ranked team in the current BCS playoff rankings. However, they will vault into the top 4 with a win over top-ranked Mississippi State. The Tide are the 8.5-point betting favorite in this game.
Alabama has won 13 straight home games.
The big match up in this game has to be the MSU offense, which ranks 12th in the nation in scoring, facing an Alabama defense that ranks 2nd in the nation.
While each of these teams control the BCS playoff destiny each still has to face a team that is currently in the top 10 with Alabama finishing off facing Auburn and Mississippi State facing Ole Miss in their season finale.
In their last games Alabama beat LSU 20-13 in OT and MSU beat UT Martin 45-16.
MSU is 5-4 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 5-4 and Alabama is 3-6 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 4-5.
On the season Alabama is 5-0 at home and MSU is 3-0 on the road.
MSU has the top-ranked offense in the SEC and are led by Heisman candidate QB Dak Prescott and RB Josh Robinson, who ranks 2nd in the conference in rushing yards. While Alabama has one star WR the Bulldogs have a slew of good receivers with 6 players with at least 225 receiving yards.
Alabama ranks 15th in the nation in pass defense and 40th in sacks.
Robinson has rushed for over 100 yards in 5 games this season, but has not done so in the last 2. Prescott is the 2nd leading rusher on the team and this duo is each averaging over 5 yards per carry and they have combined for 22 rushing TD's. Alabama does rank 3rd in the nation in run defense, but in the OT win over LSU they gave up 183 rushing yards.
Blake Sims has been great under center for the Tide and h=in his last 4 games he has passed for 9 TD and has not been picked off once. MSU only ranks 120th in the nation in pass defense and they have one main concern in this game and that is to contain Bama WR Amari Cooper, who may be THE best WR in the nation. He has 1,215 receiving yards with 10 TD and the next leading target only has 279 yards.
T.J Yeldon and Derrick Henry have combined for 1,240 rushing yards with 9 TD and they will face the strength of the MSU D, which is their run defense that ranks 22nd in the nation.
MSU is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they have an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Alabama is 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win, and they have an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games between these 2 teams.
Free Mississippi State vs. Alabama Point Spread Pick
Our Crew's Pick: Take the Alabama Crimson Tide -10 at Bovada and get yourself a 50% bonus on your first deposit!