Ole Miss Rebels vs. LSU Tigers Point Spread
Point Spread Line: Mississippi -3.5
Moneyline: Ole Miss -155 / LSU +135
Time: 7:15 PM EST Saturday October 25, 2014 on ESPN / WatchESPN
No. 3 Ole Miss (7-0) vs. No. 24 LSU (6-2)
LSU has won 2 straight games and 3 of their last 4 and they are coming off a blowout win over Kentucky. The Tigers already have a win over a top 25 team and they have the nation's 8th ranked defense, but they are still a 3.5-point home betting underdog this Saturday.
One of the main reasons Ole Miss is the road favorite is that they have the nation's top-ranked defense and they are tied for the lead in INT. They have only given up 6 TD on the season and their defense has scored 4 TD. After upsetting, then, 3rd ranked Alabama at home they beat a top 25 Texas A&M in their house and must win on the road again to stay undefeated in SEC West play like Mississippi State, who is a big favorite facing Kentucky this week.
In their last games LSU beat Kentucky 41-3 and Ole Miss beat Tennessee 34-3.
Ole Miss is 6-0-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 1-6 and LSU is 6-2 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 4-4.
On the season LSU is 5-1 at home and Ole Miss is 2-0 on the road.
This is the first time in the last 15 games between these 2 teams that Ole Miss is favored.
Bo Wallace leads the Rebels under center and while he has had some inconsistent games he has played well when it counts and in the Alabama and Texas A&M gave he had 0 INT. Last season when the Rebels upset the 6th ranked Tigers Wallace had nearly 350 passing yards. He has a solid WR corps with 2 guys with over 420 receiving yards. LSU ranks 3rd in the nation in pass defense, but they have not faced a team with a great aerial attack.
The Rebels are a pass-first team, but RB Jaylen Walton has played well and is averaging 5.9 yards per carry. LSU is much better at pass defense than run defense on the season, as they only rank 68th in the nation against the run.
LSU does not have a dynamic offense and they mostly rely on the run. Leonard Fournette (544 yards 7 TD) and Kenny Hilliard (353 yards 6 TD) may be the 2 main guys the Rebels have to worry about on the defensive side of the football.
QB Anthony Jennings has not passed for over 200 yards since the season opener, but he does have 2 big play WR's in Travin Dural (26 rec 665 yards 7 TD), and Malachi Dupre (11 rec 257 yards 4 TD), who are each averaging over 23 yards per catch.
Ole Miss is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games, 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall, and they have an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.
LSU is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, and they have an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Ole Miss is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games at LSU.
In the last 5 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Over 4 times.
Point Spread Pick
Mississippi has Auburn on deck and it certainly isn't an easy place to get a win at Tiger Stadium let alone a point spread cover. The hook seals it for for us.
Our Crew's Pick: Take the LSU Tigers +3.5 at Bovada and get yourself a 50% bonus on your first deposit!