Michigan State Spartans vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Pick
Opening Line: Notre Dame -5
3:30 PM EST Saturday September 21, 2013 on NBC
Michigan State is at 3-0, but they are not ranked since they have not played a tough early season schedule. However, they will likely be in the top 25 if they can upset a ranked Notre Dame team on the road. The Spartansí defense has been playing great ranking 12th in the nation.
Notre Dame got over their big loss to Michigan with a win last week against Purdue and their run defense will have to play like they did in that win facing a MSU team that has a solid rushing attack.
In their last games Notre Dame beat Purdue 31-24 and Michigan State beat Youngstown St
Michigan State is 1-2 ATS with an Over/Under record of 1-2 and Notre Dame is 0-3 ATS with an Over/Under record 2-1.
Last season Notre Dame beat Michigan State 20-3.
Michigan State has relied on their rushing game to score, as they only rank 105th in the nation in passing yards per game. Connor Cook and Andrew Maxwell have split time under center for the Spartans and their 2 leading receivers have only combined for 16 catches and 187 yards in 3 games.
The Spartans have run the ball well with RBís Jeremy Langford (200 yards 4 TD) and Nick Hill (179 yards 1 TD). MSU may have to air it out more in this game, as the Notre Dame run defense is solid and held Purdue to only 38 yards on the ground as opposed to 256 in the air.
QB Tommy Rees has played well this season with 969 passing yards with 7 TD and 2 INT in leading the Fighting Irish and their 16th ranked passing offense. The MSU pass defense will really be tested in this game and it is key that their pass rush pressure Rees in the pocket. His main targets are WRís DaVaris Daniels (299 yards 4 TD) and TJ Jones (289 yards 1 TD), who are each averaging over 15 yards per catch.
While the Fighting Irish passing offense has been solid the same cannot be said about their rushing offense. They were held under 100 rushing yards against Purdue and the teamís top 2 RBís in Amir Carlisle and Cam McDaniel are each averaging less than 5 yards per carry.Betting Trends
Michigan State is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games, 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Under record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games.
Notre Dame is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall, and they have an Under record 21-7 in their last 28 home games.
Michigan State is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games at Notre Dame.
ATS Game Pick
Take the UNDER 42 at Gtbets