Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans Betting Pick
Opening Line: Michigan State -6
Time: 3:30 PM EST Saturday November 2, 2013 on ABC
Michigan State has the 3rd ranked defense in the nation and they are not only the betting favorite for this game, but can take control of the Big 10 Legends Division with a win. While the Spartans do not face a ranked team in their last 3 games after Michigan they face a tough Nebraska team on the road next week.
Michigan is also at 1 loss in the Big 10, but not only do they face MSU on the road this week, but host 4th ranked Ohio State in their season finale. The Wolverines have a balanced offense that ranks 8th in the nation averaging 42.4 ppg.
In their last games Michigan beat Indiana 63-47 and Michigan State beat Illinois 42-3.
Michigan is 4-3 ATS with an Over/Under record of 5-2 and Michigan State is 4-3-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 3-5.
Michigan State is led on offense by the rushing attack, but in the Illinois blowout win Connor Cook had a great game through their air completing 15 of 16 passes for 208 yards with 3 TD and 0 INT. He has a decent set of targets and may want to air it out facing a Michigan pass defense that ranks 97th in the nation and gave up 410 passing yards last week to Indiana.
MSU RB Jeremy Langford, who has rushed for over 100 yards in 3 straight games, will test Michigan and their 8th ranked rushing defense. The Wolverines gave up 162 rushing yards against Indiana.
Michigan had a decent day on offense in their win over Indiana racking up 751 total yards with 503 coming through the air and 248 coming on the ground.
QB Devin Gardner had over 500 passing yards last week and after having issues with the INT early in the season he only has 2 in his last 3 games. WR Jeremy Gallon had an amazing 369 receiving yards against Indiana and he and TE Devin Funchess are each averaging over 18 yards per catch. MSU and their 3rd ranked pass defense really have to key on Gallon, who is one of the best WR's in the nation.
Can Michigan run the ball? They have a legit rushing offense, but face a MSU run defense that is the top ranked unit in the nation. Fitzgerald Toussaint rushed for 153 yards against Indiana and QB Gardner has rushed for over 500 yards on the season with 9 TD.Betting Trends
Michigan is 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 road games, 10-22-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Over record of 9-3 in their last 12 games.
Michigan State is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games, and they have an Under record of 10-3 in their last 13 home games.
Michigan State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against Michigan.
Against the Spread Pick
Take the Michigan State Spartans -6 at GTBets