Maryland Terrapins vs. Florida State Seminoles Betting Pick
Opening Line: Florida State -15
Time: 12 PM EST Saturday October 5, 2013 on ESPN / WatchESPN
Maryland is ranked 25th in the nation and they are coming off a great blowout win over West Virginia, but this game facing 8th ranked Florida State will be their biggest test so far this season. The Terrapins' defense has been great ranking 3rd in the nation only giving up an average of 10.3 ppg.
Florida State has not played a tough schedule so far, but they are solid so far across the board ranking 26th in passing offense, 20th in rushing offense, 17th on defense, and their offense overall ranks 4th averaging 51.3 ppg. We will see if FSU is for real, as after this game against a ranked Maryland team they face Clemson and Miami, who are ranked in the top 15, in 2 of their next 3 games.
Last season Florida State beat Maryland 41-14 and they have not lost to the Terrapins since the 2006 season.
In their last games Maryland beat West Virginia 37-0 and Florida State beat Boston College 38-34.
Maryland is 4-0 ATS with an Over/Under record of 2-2 and Florida State is 3-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 4-0.
Maryland QB C.J. Brown had a solid game against West Virginia and has passed for 1,043 yards with 7 TD and 1 INT this season. WR Stefon Diggs leads the receiving corps and this season he has 18 catches for 400 yards and 3 TD and is averaging 22.2 yards per catch. FSU ranks 4th in the nation in pass defense and in the Boston College game they gave up 199 yards in the air, but had 2 picks.
While the Seminoles have played great pass defense their run defense only ranks 62nd in the nation and they gave up 200 rushing yards in the Boston College win. Maryland RB's Brandon Ross has rushed for 332 yards this season and QB Brown has 283 rushing yards, but both did not run well in the Terrapins easy win over West Virginia.
FSU QB Jameis Winston had a big game against Boston College with 330 yards with 4 TD and 1 INT. WR's Kenny Shaw and Rashad Greene have combined for 669 yards and 7 TD and each is averaging over 15 yards per catch. Maryland ranks 14th in pass defense and they lead the nation with 17 sacks.
Maryland's run defense has also been solid ranking 14th, but they will be tested in this game by the FSU RB duo of Devonta Freeman and Karlos Williams, who have combined to rush for 537 yards and each is averaging over 8 yards per carry.
FSU has to hold onto the ball against an aggressive Terrapins' defense that forced 6 turnovers in the West Virginia game.Betting Trends
Maryland is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games, and they have an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Florida State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, and they have an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.
Florida State is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games facing Maryland.
Against the Spread Pick
Take the Seminoles -16.5 at Gtbets