LSU Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Pick
Opening Line: Alabama -13
Time: 8 PM EST Saturday November 9, 2013 on CBS
With their new system on offense the Tigers are no longer just a great team on defense, but can their solid offense score on an Alabama defense that is the top ranked unit in the nation only giving up an average of 9.8 ppg?
Alabama has 7 blowouts in 7 of their 8 wins on the season and in their last3 games they have only giving up a combined 17 points.
LSU already has 2 losses on the season and the only chance they can play in a BCS game is if they run the table for the rest of the season. They not only have to beat Alabama in their house, but they also host Texas A&M next week.
Last season Alabama beat LSU 21-17.
LSU is 4-4-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 7-2 and Alabama is 5-3 ATS with an Over/Under record of 4-3-1.
In their last games LSU beat Furman 48-16 and Alabama beat Tennessee 45-10.
Both teams are coming off a bye week.
Zach Mattenberger got over his 3 INT performance in the upset loss to Ole Miss by passing for 328 yards with 3 TD against Furman. WR's Odell Beckham (48 rec 1009 yards 8 TD), who had over 200 receiving yards against Furman, and
Jarvis Landry (58 rec 882 yards 8 TD) are his main targets, but it is key that he finds them and not get picked off, as he has 5 INT in his last 2 games. He faces a very athletic Alabama pass defense that ranks 8th in the nation.
The Tide have the nation's 7th ranked run defense and their main goal is to stop RB Jeremy Hill, who has 922 yards and 12 TD on the season and has rushed for over 100 yards in 3 of his last 4 games.
AJ McCarron had a big game against Tennessee with 275 passing yards and 2 TD. He has not been picked off in his last 4 games and has a very deep WR corps. LSU has the nation's 20th ranked pass defense and their decent pass rush will have to get to McCarron, but that is easier said than done against the great Tide offensive line.
The Alabama RB duo of T.J. Yeldon and Kenyon Drake has combined for 1,220 yards this season and 17 TD and they have to be a major concern for a LSU run defense that only ranks 50th in the nation. In the 2 losses for the Tigers this season they gave up a combined 372 yards on the ground. If they allow the Tide to dominate the ground game LSU will lose their 3rd game of the season.Betting Trends
LSU is 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win, 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and they have an Over record of 7-2 in their last 9 games.
Alabama is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games, and they have an Under record of 7-3-1 in their last 11 home games.
LSU is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games against the Tide in Alabama.
Against the Spread Pick
Take the Alabama Crimson Tide -12.5 at GTBets