Florida State Seminoles vs. Louisville Cardinals ATS Pick

Betting Odds

Point Spread Line: Florida State -6
Moneyline: Ohio State -240 / Pen State +200
Over/Under: OFF

Time: 7:30 PM EST Thursday October 30, 2014, ESPN / WatchESPN

Florida State heads to Papa John's Cardinal Stadium to take on Louisville in Thursday college football betting action. The Seminoles have won all of their road games this season but have failed to cover the betting line in all three. On the season Florida State has been a losing proposition for its backers with a bankroll crushing 1-6 ATS record.

This is a huge game for the Cardinals who with a win would still have a mathematical chance to be in the ACC championship game. Louisville has been a decent proposition overall with a 5-3 record against the point spread in 2014 but are only a vig losing 2-2 at home. This will be their second game as an underdog this season and first at home. They covered in their previous game as an underdog going into Clemson as a 8.5 point dog and losing by only six points 23-17.

These two teams haven't met since 2002 when the Florida State came into Louisville as a 14.5 point favorite and lost the game outright 26-20 to the Cardinals.

In their last games Florida State beat Notre Dame 31-27 and Louisville beat NC State 30-18.

This season Louisville is 4-0 at home and Florida State is 3-0 on the road.

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Florida State: 7-0 SU 1-6 ATS
Louisville: 6-2 SU 5-3 ATS
Key Betting Trends
  • FSU is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • FSU is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
  • FSU has an Over record of 7-2 in their last 9 road games.
  • LV is 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • LV is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
  • LV has an Under record of 19-7-1 in their last 27 home games.
Sagarin Power Rankings
Florida State: 88.34
Louisville: 80.72
Key Player Injuries

[DT] 09/25/2014 - Nile Lawrence-Stample out for season ( Pectoral )
[C] 10/05/2014 - Austin Barron out indefinitely ( Arm )
[WR] 08/16/2014 - Isaiah Jones out for season ( Academics )
[LB] 08/28/2014 - Delvin Purifoy out for season ( Leg )
[DL] 10/26/2014 - Demarcus Christmas "?" Thursday vs. Louisville ( Ankle )
[2nd QB] 10/26/2014 - Sean Maguire "?" Thursday vs. Louisville ( Hand )
[RB] 10/26/2014 - Mario Pender "?" Thursday vs. Louisville ( Ankle )

[WR] 10/11/2014 - Cameron Polk has been dismissed ( Legal problems )
[KR/RB] 10/16/2014 - Corvin Lamb out for season ( ACL )
[WR] 10/26/2014 - James Quick injured last game, probable Thursday vs. Florida State ( Ankle )
[LB] 10/26/2014 - Lorenzo Mauldin injured last game, probable Thursday vs. Florida State ( Hamstring )

Free Point Spread Pick

The Seminoles just aren't extending the margin on teams like they were last season resulting in their poor ATS record this season. They now travel into Louisville to take on one of the best scoring defensesin the country allowing a meagre 14.6 points per game. The Cards could win this game.
Our Crew's Pick: Take the Louisville Cardinals +6 at Bovada and get yourself a 50% bonus on your first deposit!

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