Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers Point Spread Pick
Point Spread Line: Packers -7.5
Moneyline: Cincinnati +315 / Pittsburgh -345
Time: 4:25 PM EST Sunday December 28, 2014 on FOX
Detroit Lions (11-4) vs. Green Bay Packers (11-4)
Both the Packers and the Lions are in the playoffs, but there is still a lot at stake in this game. The winner will take the NFC North title and also get a bye as well as home field in the playoffs if the Seahawks and Cardinals both lose. The Lions beat the Packers earlier this season in Detroit, but in Green Bay the Packers are the 7.5-point home favorite.
Aaron Rodgers is a possible MVP candidate and RB Eddie Lacy has had a solid 2nd half, but these 2 were held in check, big time, in the loss to the Lions in Week 3. In the game Rodgers only passed for 162 yards and Lacy only rushed for 36 yards.
The Lions are riding a 4-game winning streak, but none of those wins came against a team with a winning record. Still, their have the league's top ranked run defense and while their pass D ranks a solid 13th that unit has struggled in the last few weeks.
In their last games the Lions beat the Chicago Bears 20-14 and the Packers beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20-3.
The Lions are 7-8 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 4-11 and the Packers are 8-6-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 10-5.
On the season the Packers are undefeated at home (7-0) and the Lions are 4-3 on the road.
Rodgers lit up the Tampa Bay secondary to the tune of 318 yards with 1 TD and 0 INT and THE best WR duo in the league in Randall Cobb and Jordy Nelson each had over 110 receiving yards. Pressuring Rodgers will be key for the Detroit pass rush, which has the 6th most sacks in the league.
Eddie Lacy also had a against game against Tampa Bay rushing for 99 yards and a TD averaging 5.8 yards per carry.
Matthew Stafford leads the Lions and he has passed for over 4,000 yards on the season. Detroit may have an argument that they have the best WR duo in the league in Megatron (Calvin Johnson) and Golden Tate. They have to be a concern for a Green Bay pass defense that ranks 22nd in the league.
The Packers rank 10th in the league defending the run and they face a Lions' team that rushed for 138 yards in the Chicago game. One key is that Reggie Bush is healthy and gives the Lions another weapon in the backfield. The Lions need to run the ball well to eat up the clock and keep Rodgers on the sidelines.
Green Bay: 11-4 SU 8-6-1 ATS
The Lions are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games, and they have an Under record of 8-0 in their last 8 road games.
The Packers are 21-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 home games, and they have an Over record of 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against the Lions.
Green Bay: 26.65
Free Against the Spread Pick
Green Bay struggles against a quality offensive line which is the common factor in 3 of their 4 losses. The Pack does own the Lions at Lambeau and we do think that they will win this game, but the point spread is way to high.
Our Crew's Pick: Take the Detroit Lions +7.5 at Bovada and get yourself a 100% bonus on your first deposit!