Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders Spread Pick
Opening Line: Denver -10
Denver stayed atop the AFC with a 37-13 pasting of Houston last week. Oakland lost for the fifth-straight week and seventh time in eight games with a 26-12 defeat to San Diego last Sunday. The Broncos won the Week 3 matchup 37-21.
The Broncos lead the NFL in passing yards and they will look to attack a pass defense that allows 250.5 yards per game. QB Peyton Manning set some records last week and will want to set more this week. He is only 265 yards behind QB Drew Brees' season passing yardage record and will want to top that mark. Despite his quiet demeanor and lack of bravado, Manning loves to post big numbers. Despite encouraging play earlier in the year, the Raiders defense has collapsed of late. They have allowed an average of 33.6 ppg over their last eight outings and 150 points (37.5 per game) over their last four. Their pass rush has improved but Manning rarely goes down (17 sacks in 2013). RB Knowshon Moreno has topped 1,000 yards and scored 10 TDs but Oakland's run defense has been much improved this season. Even if Manning has a lot of early success through the air, look for Denver to keep Moreno and the running game involved in the offense.
The Raiders are going to start QB Terrelle Pryor this week because (they say) they want to evaluate him some more. Pryor's agent disagreed setting up a nasty Twitter war. Pryor maintains he wants to remain a Raider but his play has been lacking this season. He has a 5-11 TD/INT ratio and a QB rating of 66.0. Denver's pass defense is statistically worse than Oakland's but some of that is because of the big leads they have built early in games. WR Rod Streater has emerged as the top target but Pryor has issues with accuracy (57.7%). Where the Broncos do have to be concerned is with Pryor's running ability. Look for them to be disciplined in their rush lanes and maybe have a player ‘spying' on Pryor on passing downs. The Raiders have had some success running the ball but remain inconsistent in that area. Like Oakland, Denver has been much better at stopping the run and look for them to key on the running game early in the game and to force Pryor to throw the ball often. OLB Von Miller is out for the year with a torn ACL but the Broncos were 6-0 without him to start the year.
ATS Game Pick
Kansas City is 5-1 SU on the road this year and is catching a Raiders team that is reeling after playing above their heads earlier in the year. The Chiefs have a lot more talent on both sides of the ball and are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 visits to Oakland. With such a low number, we have no trouble backing this divisional road favorite.
Our Crew's Pick: Take the Denver Broncos -10 at GtBets and get yourself a 100% bonus on your first deposit!