Dallas Cowboys vs. Green Bay Packers Betting
Point Spread Line: Packers -6
Moneyline: Dallas +230 / Green Bay -250
Time: 1:05 PM EST Sunday January 11, 2015 on FOX
Something has got to give in this NFC playoff game, as this season the Packers are undefeated at home and the Cowboys are undefeated on the road. However, at figid Lambeau Field this Sunday the Packers are the 6-point betting favorite.
Tony Romo guided the Cowboys to the comeback win and many are saying he has legit MVP numbers, but Aaron Rodgers is still the best QB in the NFC.
The Cowboys have won 5 straight games.
Each team has the passing offense and while Eddie Lacy ran the ball well for the Packers in the 2nd half of the season Dallas has the league's leading RB in DeMarco Murray. Each team has issues this season on defense, as the Cowboys only rank 26th in the league in pass defense while the Packers only rank 23rd in the league in pass defense.
The Cowboys are 10-7 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 9-7-1 and the Packers are 9-6-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 11-5.
On the season the Packers are 8-0 at home and the Cowboys are 8-0 on the road.
Last week in the Wild Card round the Cowboys beat the Detroit Lions 24-20 and in the last game of the regular season the Packers also beat the Lions 30-20.
Tony Romo has a good offensive line with a couple of All Pros, but he was sacked 6 times last week. Green Bay is tied with a few other teams ranking 9th in the league in sacks. The Dallas QB had a good game against Detroit and big play WR Dez Bryant and TE Jason Witten will be facing a solid Green Bay pass defense that ranks 10th in the league.
Against Detroit Murray was facing the #1 ranked run defense and while he did have 75 yards he averaged less than 4 yards per carry. However, he is a major worry for a Packers' run defense that has struggled this season.
The Cowboys issues in the secondary may be highlighted in this game facing Rodgers and the great WR duo of Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb, who each had over 1,280 receiving yards. That secondary may not get much help from the pass rush, which only ranks 28th in sacks. Last week the Cowboys gave up 307 passing yards, but did have a big INT.
The Cowboys 8th ranked run defense held Detroit to 90 rushing yards and while Murray had 75 yards facing the Lions last week Lacy had 100 facing them in the season finale.
Dallas: 12-4 SU 10-6 ATS
Green Bay: 12-4 SU 9-6-1 ATS
The Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games, 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and in their last 7 road games they have an Over record of 7-0.
The Packers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and they have an Over record of 7-1 in their last 8 home games.
The home team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 games between these 2 teams.
Green Bay: 26.81
Free Pick Against the Spread
Sure we wouldn't argue if you said that the boys from Dallas had an edge on the ground, but the difference in the passing defenses is large and the Packers hold the edge.
Our Crew's Pick: Take the Green Bay Packers -6 at Bovada and get yourself a 100% bonus on your first deposit!