Dallas Cowboys vs. Chicago Bears Point Spread Pick

Betting Odds

Point Spread Line: Dallas -3.5
Moneyline: Dallas +170 / Chicago -185
Over/Under: 51.5

Time: 8:25 PM EST Thursday December 4, 2014 on NFL

Dallas Cowboys (8-4) vs. Chicago Bears (5-7)

The Cowboys suffered a big loss in their last game with the Philadelphia Eagles, who they now trail by a game in the NFC East. The Bears had their 2-game winning streak snapped with their last loss and they are a 3.5-point betting underdog even at home.

Dallas may be happy they are away from the Big D in this game, as they are 5-0 on the road this season.

DeMarco Murray has given the Cowboys rushing offense this season, but Tony Romo has still had a good season with the exception if the last game. He may pad his stats in this NFC match up facing a Bears' pass defense that ranks 30th in the league.

In their last games the Bears lost to the Detroit Lions 34-17 and the Cowboys lost to the Philadelphia Eagles 33-10.

The Cowboys are 6-6 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 6-5-1 and the Bears are 5-7 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 7-5.

This season the Bears are 2-3 at home and the Cowboys are 5-0 on the road.

The Bears have only beaten one team with a winning record this season and that was beating the 49ers in Week 2.

Jay Cutler had a decent game against the Lions with 280 passing yards with TD, but he also had 2 INT. He has been plagued by the INT his entire career in Chicago and he has 6 picks in his last 4 games. 3 Chicago WR's have at least 650 receiving yards as does RB Matt Forte.

Forte is the big gun for the Bears' offense and has rushed for 828 yards and has 650 receiving yards. The Dallas defense only ranks 20th against the pass and 22nd against the run and they were torched on the ground giving up a whopping 256 rushing yards in the loss to the Eagles in their last game.

Romo has to forget about the loss to the Eagles where he only passed for 199 yards with 0 TD and 2 picks and was also sacked 4 times. Dez Bryant is the WR the Chicago secondary has to worry about, but they have given up a ton of big plays this season.

Murray leads the league in rushing yards, but in the Philly game he only rushed for 73 yards averaging a pedestrian 3.7 yards per carry. Chicago had a decent game on run defense in the Thanksgiving loss to the Lions, but they gave up 383 passing yards.

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Dallas: 8-4 SU 6-6 ATS
Chicago: 5-7 SU 5-7 ATS
Dallas Cowboys vs. Chicago Bears Betting Trends

The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, and they have an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 road games.

The Bears are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 home games, 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 home games.

In the last 4 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Over every time.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Dallas: 20.62
Chicago: 17.09

Free Against the Spread Pick

The injuries are piling up for the Bears on the defensive side of the ball and Dallas may score at will, but we think that Chicago has enough weapons to march up and down the field too. Dallas has won only two games in their last 5 with only one win by a margin exceeding this game's current line and that was against the Jags. The home team getting the 3.5 is where the value is here.
Our Crew's Pick: Take the Chicago Bears +3.5 at Bovada and get yourself a 100% bonus on your first deposit!

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