Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack Betting Pick
Opening Line: Clemson -13.5
Time: 7:30 PM EST Thursday September 19, 2013 on ESPN / WatchESPN
Clemson is the 3rd ranked team in the nation and the last time a 3rd ranked team played at NC State was last season when the Wolfpack pulled off an upset beating Florida State. Tigersí QB Tajh Boyd is an early season Heisman candidate and when these 2 teams met last season at Clemson Boyd passed for 426 yards and rushed for 103 yards in a wild 62-48 win.
NC State is at 2-0, but they have not faced a big time school with wins over Louisiana Tech and Richmond. The Wolfpack committed 4 turnovers in their narrow 2-point win over FBS Richmond in their last game and in this ACC opener for each team they are 13.5-point underdogs.
In their last games Clemson beat South Carolina State 52-13 and NC State beat Richmond 23-21.
Clemson is 1-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 2-1 and NC State is 1-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 0-2.
Boyd sat out the 2nd half of the South Carolina State game and for the season he has 439 yards with 3 TD and 0 INT. WR Sammy Watkins has 146 yards with 1 TD and is his main target and these 2 have to be huge concerns for a NC State pass defense that gave up 300 yards in the air to Richmond.
Clemson RB Roderick McDowell had 132 yards in the big win over Georgia in the season opener and is averaging 5.8 yards per carry this season. The NC State rushing defense stuffed the run facing Richmond and they will really be tested in this Atlantic Division match up.
The NC State offense is a work in progress with QB Pete Thomas, who has passed for 449 yards with 0 TD and 3 INT and true freshman RB Matt Dayes (127 yards 3 TD).
It is key that Dayes and fellow RB Tony Creecy (103 yards 1 TD) run the ball well to keep Clemsonís offense, which ranks 16th in the nation averaging 45 ppg, off the field.
The Tigers were dominant on defense in their easy win over South Carolina State only allowing 155 passing yards, 86 rushing yards, and they forced 3 turnovers.
Last season Clemson was 3-1 on the road with Boyd passing for 16 TD and 5 INT.
NC State was 1-1 last season facing ranked teams with their 1 loss coming against Clemson.Betting Trends
Clemson is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games, and they have an Under record of 11-4 in their last 15 road games.
NC State is 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 home games, 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss, and they have an Under record of 7-0 in their last 7 home games.
NC State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Clemson.
ATS Game Pick
Take the Tigers and lay the -13.5 at Bovada