Cincinnati Bengals vs. Indianapolis Colts Point Spread Pick

Betting Odds

Point Spread Line: Colts -3
Moneyline: Cincinnati +155 / Indianapolis -165
Over/Under: 49

Time: 1:05 PM EST Sunday January 4, 2014 on CBS

The Bengals coming off of s loss are only a 3-point road underdog facing a Colts team that shut them out earlier this season in Indianapolis. However, lead WR A.J. Green was out for that game and RB Jeremy Hill, who ended the season on fire, was not the lead back.

Can the Bengals' defense contain Andrew Luck? They could not earlier in the season and the Colts' signal caller leads Indy and their #1 ranked passing offense. The match up for Cincinnati is not good, as they only rank 20th in the league in pass defense and they had the fewest sacks in the league this season.

In their last games the Bengals lost to the Pittsburgh Steelers 27-17 and the Colts beat the Tennessee Titans 27-10.

The Bengals are 8-7-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 6-10 and the Colts are 10-5-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 9-7.

On the season the Colts are 6-2 at home and the Bengals are 5-3 on the road.

Andy Dalton has made the playoffs in each of his first 3 years in the league but has 0 wins to show for it. Also, head coach Marvin Lewis is 0-5 in the playoffs with the team. The Bengals have leaned on the pass in the last 3 p-layoff games and they must do so on the run in this game. However, A.J. Green and Mohamed Sanu are a solid WR duo and will face an Indy pass D that ranks 13th in the league.

Hill emerged as the lead back for the Bengals in the middle of the season and in his last 3 games he has racked up 395 yards. He even had 100 rushing yards last week facing a solid run defense, which the Colts do not have ranking 18th in the league. Even in beating Tennessee pretty easily last week the Colts gave up over 150 rushing yards.

Luck ranked 3rd in the league in overall passing yards and T.Y. Hilton ranked 6th in the league in receiving yards and Reggie Wayne proved he still has a lot of gas in his tank. In their 27-0 thrashing of the Bengals in the middle of the season Luck passed for 344 yards with 2 TD and 0 INT.

Trent Richardson leads the Colts in rushing yards, but the Indy rushing offense has struggled all season. However, in the game against the Bengals this season Richardson had his biggest game, the Colts rushed for 171 yards, and now face a Cincy run D that only ranks 20th in the league.

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Cincinnati: 10-5-1 SU 8-7-1 ATS
Indianapolis: 11-5 SU 10-5-1 ATS
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Indianapolis Colts Betting Trends

The Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 playoff games, and they have an Under record of 6-0 in their last 6 road games.

The Colts are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall, 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 home games, and they have an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.

The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games between these 2 teams.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Cincinnati: 22
Indianapolis: 25.48

Free Against the Spread Pick

It's a tough call ATS on this game with Green being questionable and the Colts' offensive line woes. However, those are thw two main factors that make this an easy over/under play.
Our Crew's Pick: Take the UNDER 49 at Bovada and get yourself a 100% bonus on your first deposit!

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