NFL Football Betting Preview
Chicago Bears (1-3) at Green Bay Packers (4-0) -3 o/u 40.5, 8:30 p.m. Eastern Sunday, October 7, NBC
by Marasoft.com Staff
The Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers meet Sunday at Lambeau field. The Bears are looking to get back the magic they had last year on their way to the Super Bowl. The Packers are a surprising undefeated team that has rode the carpet ride of veteran Brett Favre.
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The Bears are 0-4 against the spread this season; they are 0-2 straight up and 0-2 ATS on the road.
The Packers are 4-0 ATS this season, and they are 2-0 SU and 2-0 vs. the number at home.
Chicago replaced QB Rex Grossman with Brian Griese last week. Griese did not fare much better has he threw for 3 interceptions. He did complete 65.4% of his passes for 286 yards. The rushing attack has also had problems as Cedric Benson only has 239 yards (3.2 yards per carry) and 1 touchdown.
Green Bay is led by QB Brett Favre. Favre has had an incredible run so far this season and has also went past Dan Marino as the all-time touchdown passing leader. This season Favre has thrown for 1,205 yards, 8 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. His QB rating is 97.3 and he has completed 65.9% of his passes. The Packers have been looking for someone to lead their rushing attack but have not had any luck. It appears that DeShawn Wynn will get the start this week. Wynn has rushed for 86 yards (3.8 yards per carry) and 2 touchdowns.
The Bears are being outrushed by their opponents this season by a 82-93 yards-per-game average, while the Packers are being outrushed by their opponents by a 54-106 YPG margin.
Chicago is averaging 4.1 yards per play on the season while Green Bay is averaging 5.5 yards per play. The Bears defense has given up an average of 5.5 yards per play while the Packers have given up an average of 5.6 yards per play.
Chicago ranks 30th in total offense averaging 245.8 yards per game. Green Bay ranks 12th with 343.0 yards per game.
In scoring offense, the Bears rank 26th averaging 15.0 points per game and the Packers rank 8th averaging 26.2 points per game.
On the defensive side of the ball the Bears rank 15th in total defense giving up 321.2 yards per game while the Packers rank 19th giving up an average of 343.5 yards per game.
In scoring defense Chicago ranks 21st and Green Bay ranks 9th giving up 23.8 and 16.5 points per game, respectively.
Chicago swept the season series last year by scores of 26-0 and 26-7. The Bears have won the last 4 meetings between these 2 teams.
The Sagarin PREDICTOR ratings at USAToday.com ranks Chicago #23 at 16.65, Green Bay is #3rd at 27.03.
The Over/Under is 2-2 in Bears games this season, 3-1 in Packers games.
Green Bay opened up as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 41.5. The line has dropped to Green Bay -3 and the total has dropped to 40.5. At the time of this writing, the betting public was backing the Packers 81%-19%.
Marasoft Staff Pick:
We are going to go against the public here and predict that the Bears will wake up from their season long slumber. Take the points!
Chicago 21 Green Bay 17
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