California Golden Bears vs. USC Trojans Point Spread
Point Spread Line: USC -14
Moneyline: Golden Bears +500 / Southern Cal -600
Time: 9 PM EST Thursday November 13, 2014 on ESPN / WatchESPN
No. 4 Alabama (7-1) vs. No. 14 LSU (7-2)
Cal has had a great turnaround season and they are only one win away from being bowl eligible. However, they are big 14-point underdogs facing USC in this Pac 12 match up and have tough remaining games facing Stanford and BYU.
Many thought USC was a legitimate BCS contender this season, but their 3 losses took them out of that consideration. Still, they are 5-2 in conference play and have 2 wins over ranked teams this season.
Cal has one of the best passing offenses in the nation, ranking 4th, and they are the 9th highest scoring team in the nation, but their defense only ranks 122nd giving up nearly 40 ppg.
Last season at Cal the Trojans laid a 62-28 beat-down on the Golden Bears.
In their last games USC beat Washington State 44-17 and Cal snapped their 3-game losing streak with a 45-31 win over Oregon State.
Cal is 6-3 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 6-3 and USC is 6-3 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 4-5.
This season USC is 3-1 at home and Cal is 3-1 on the road.
While Cal relies on the pass to move the chains USC has a more balanced offense QB Cody Kessler has had a solid season and has passed for 25 TD and only 2 INT this season. He passed for 400 yards in the win over Washington State and while the Trojans have a deep WR corps Nelson Agholor leads the team with 863 yards and 8 TD. He is coming off a 220-yard game and has over 100 receiving yards in 3 straight games.
Javorius Allen is one of the more underrated RB's in the nation, but he has racked up 1,124 yards this season with 8 TD and he has rushed for over 100 yards in every game, but 1 this season.
USC's defense ranks 35th in the nation and their main goal in this game is to contain Cal QB Jared Goff (3,119 yards 27 TD 4 INT). He has put up big numbers all season and only has 1 INT in his last 5 games. He has a very deep WR corps and 7 players for Cal have at least 300 receiving yards.
One thing the Golden Bears have going for them is that the weakness of the USC defense is their pass D, which only ranks 101st in the nation.
While the Golden Bears are a pass-first team RB Daniel Lasco has 796 rushing yards, 10 TD, and is coming off a 188 yard game facing Oregon State.
Cal is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games overall, and they have an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
USC is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and in their last 5 home games they have an Over record of 3-1-1.
USC is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against Cal.
In the last 10 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under 8 times.
Point Spread Pick
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