Boise State Broncos vs. BYU Cougars Betting Pick
Opening Line: BYU -6.5
Time: 8 PM EST Friday October 25, 2013 on ESPN / WatchESPN
After losing 2 of their first 3 games of the season BYU has bounced back and they have won 4 straight. Boise State has won 3 in a row and this season neither team has faced a ranked opponent. Both teams have a solid rushing offense, as BYU ranks 14th in the nation in rushing yards per game and Boise State ranks 20th.
BYU has a solid defense ranking 29th in the country, but in their last game they gave up 46 points and they gave up 435 passing yards. Their pass defense has struggled this season, but luckily the starting QB for the Broncos is out for the season and they may lean more heavily on the run.
In their last games BYU beat Houston 47-46 and Boise State beat Nevada 34-17.
Boise State is 4-3 ATS with an Over/Under record of 5-2 and BYU is 4-3 ATS with an Over/Under record of 3-4.
BYU QB Taysom Hill had a big game against Houston passing for 417 yards with 4 TD and 3 INT. He has 1,680 passing yards on the season with 9 TD, but he has been picked off 8 times. WR's Cody Hoffman Mitch Mathews are his main targets and they are each averaging over 17 yards per catch. Boise State has a solid pass defense and in the Nevada win they gave up 208 yards in the air.
Hill is also the rushing leader of the Cougars and he and Jamaal Williams are a solid duo out of the backfield. Hill rushed for 128 yards in the Houston win and overall in the game the Cougars ranked up 264 rushing yards. If the Broncos can contain Hill, which is a tall task, they have a good chance to leave BYU with a W.
Boise State pounded the ball on the ground last week and it worked, as they easily won and they had 407 rushing yards. Jay Ajayi is the team's leading rusher with 766 yards and in the Nevada game he ran for a career high 222 yards on 24 carriers. He will be tested this week by a BYU run defense that held Houston to only 48 rushing yards.
Boise State starting QB Joe Southwick is out for the season with a broken ankle and Grant Hederick is the signal caller. He passed for 150 yards with 0 TD and 1 INT in the Nevada win. He does have a decent WR corps with Matt Miller and Shane Williams-Rhodes, but the Broncos rely on shorter passes and do not take big shots down the field often. Hedrick may want to test a BUY secondary that was torched in the Houston game.Betting Trends
Boise State is 25-9 ATS in their last 34 road games, 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Over record of 10-3 in their last 13 road games.
BYU is 3-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win, and they have an Under record of 15-5 in their last 20 games facing a team with a winning record.
Against the Spread Pick
Take the UNDER 60.5 at Gtbets