Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Point Spread Pick
Point Spread Line: Steelers -3
Moneyline: Baltimore +155 / Pittsburgh -165
Time: 8:15 PM EST Saturday January 3, 2014 on NBC
These teams are no strangers to each other each in the AFC North, which the Steelers won this season. They are the 3-point betting favorite at home where they easily beat the Ravens while the Ravens won big at home against Pittsburgh early in the season.
The Steelers have won 4 straight games, but they have a big question mark in RB Le'Veon Bell. He ranked 2nd in the NFL this season in rushing yards and his status is uncertain in this game after an injury in his last one.
The Ravens are 3-1 in their last 4 games and QB Joe Flacco is 5-1 in his last 5 playoff games.
Baltimore's win over Pittsburgh in Week 2 was their only win on the season facing a team that ended the season with a winning record.
In their last games of the regular season the Steelers beat the Cincinnati Bengals 27-17 and the Ravens beat the Cleveland Browns 20-10.
The Ravens are 7-8-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 7-9 and the Steelers are 9-7 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 9-7.
This season the Steelers are 6-2 at home and the Ravens are 4-4 on the road.
Ben Roethlisberger has had a great season leading the Steelers and their 2nd ranked passing offense and WR Antonio Brown led the league in receiving yards this season. These 2 both had big games in the home win against the Ravens earlier this season, who only rank 24th in the league in pass defense as well as dead last in the league in sacks.
Obviously, Bell would be a big loss, but in the 20 points home win over Baltimore he only carried the ball 4 times. Still, he is needed to balance the offense. Dre Archer is the next leading RB for Pittsburgh and he has a grand total of 40 yards on the season. The team is looking at Bet Tate, who was recently released by the Vikings. No matter who is in the backfield they face the strength of the Ravens' defense, which is their 4th ranked run D.
Can Falcco recapture the magic of his sensational Super Bowl run a couple of years back? I would say no, but he still has a solid WR duo in Steve Smith and Torrey Smith and on top of that the Pittsburgh secondary not had their issues on the season and that unit has the leagues 27th ranked pass defense.
Justin Forsett was a surprise for the Ravens this season rushing for 1,266 yards and averaging 5.4 yards per carry. However, the Steelers run defense ranks 6th in the league and only had 9 carries for 38 yards at Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh: 11-5 SU 9-7 ATS
The Ravens are 12-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 1-4 in their last 5 games, and they have an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.
The Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 5-1 in their last 6 home games, and they have an Over record of 9-3 in their last 13 home games.
The Steelers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the Ravens and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games facing them.
Free Against the Spread Pick
The Ravens are a poor 4-4 straight up and against the spread on the road including 43-23 crushing at Heinz Field. Pittsburgh 6-2 at home this season and on a roll winning four consecutive games overall.
Our Crew's Pick: Take the Pittsburgh Steelers -3 at Bovada and get yourself a 100% bonus on your first deposit!