Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots Betting
Point Spread Line: Patriots -6.5
Moneyline: Baltimore +260 / New England -290
Time: 4:35 PM EST Saturday January 10, 2015 on NBC
The Ravens won in Pittsburgh last week in an upset in the Wild Card round, but they now head ot New England, where the Patriots are 7-point betting favorites. OK, so the Pats did lose one game at home this season, but it was in the meaningless season finale when many key players were rested.
Baltimore QB is riding a 5-game winning streak in the playoffs and that streak began a couple of seasons ago when he led the Ravens to a Super Bowl win. However, he did not get much help from the ground game last week and Baltimore was fortunate not having to face Pittsburgh's injured RB Le'Veon Bell, who had the 2nd most rushing yards in the NFL this season.
The Ravens win at Pittsburgh was their first one of the season facing a team that ended the season with a winning record.
In their last games the Ravens beat the Pittsburgh Steelers 30-17 in a Wild Card match up and the Patriots lost to the Buffalo Bills 17-9 in their last game of the regular season.
On the season the Ravens are 8-8-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 7-9-1 and the Patriots are 9-7 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 9-7.
On the season the Patriots are 7-1 at home and the Ravens are 5-4 on the road.
Joe Flacco played well in the win over Pittsburgh passing for 259 yards with 2 TD and 0 INT. Lead WR Steve Smith had over 100 receiving yards in the game and the Pats and their 17th ranked pass defense will have their hands full facing him as well as Torrey Smith and TE Owen Daniels.
Justin Forsett ranked 5th in the league in rushing yards on the season, but in the Pittsburgh game he only had 36 yards on 16 carries. If he cannot help Flacco out again the Ravens may be in trouble and he will be up against a good New England run defense that ranks 9th in the league.
Can the Ravens stop Tom Brady? That may be the big question in this game. The 3-time Super Bowl winning QB has a pretty good WR corps and perhaps THE best TE in the league in Rob Gronkowski. Baltimore's pass defense gave up over 330 passing yards to Pittsburgh last week, but they only gave up 1 TD and had 2 INT. Their pass defense ranks 24th in the league and it will be key that Elvis Dumervil (3rd most sacks in the league) and the pass rush, which has the 2nd most sacks, pressures Brady in the pocket.
New England has a deep RB corps with the likes of Shane Vareen, LeGarrette Blount, and Jonas Gray lead and they face the strength of the New England defense, which is their 4th ranked run D.
New England: 12-4 SU 9-7 ATS
The Ravens are in their last 5 playoff road games, 13-4 in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5home games, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.
The Ravens are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games against the Patriots in New England.
New England: 25.30
Free Pick Against the Spread
We can't see the Ravens' secondary holding up against the Pats and feel that New England will have no difficulty limiting Baltimore's aerial attack.
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