Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers Point Spread
Point Spread Line: Alabama -6
Moneyline: Tide -255 / Tigers +215
Time: 8 PM EST Saturday November 8, 2014 on CBS
No. 4 Alabama (7-1) vs. No. 14 LSU (7-2)
With LSU beating Ole Miss in their last game it opened up the doors for Alabama, as they control their destiny. If they win out they will be in the BCS playoffs, but that is a tall task. After a tough LSU game in their house the Tide still have to face the nation's top ranked team in Mississippi State as well as 3rd ranked Auburn in their season finale.
All looked lost for LSU a few weeks back, as they started 0-2 in SEC play. They have since reeled off 3 straight wins including knocking Ole Miss from the ranks of the unbeaten in their last game.
This game features 2 of the best defenses in the nation, as Alabama ranks 2nd in the nation on that side of the ball and LSU r4anks 4th.
In their last games LSU beat Ole Miss 10-7 and Alabama beat LSU 34-20.
Alabama is 2-6 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 4-4 and LSU is 7-2 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 4-5.
This season LSU is 6-1 at home and Alabama is 2-1 on the road.
Alabama is riding a 3-game winning streak against LSU.
The big match up in this game has to be the LSU rushing offense facing Alabama and their run defense. Overall, LSU ranks 26th in the nation in rushing offense, but they have leaned heavily on the run and has rushed for 567 yards in their last 2 games. Alabama ranks 2nd in the nation in run defense and they have not allowed a 100-yard rusher this season. LSU RB Leonard Fournette has nearly 300 rushing yards in his last 3 games and in the Ole Miss game he rushed for 113 and LSU rushed for 264 as a team.
LSU does not air it out often, but when they do they make it count with 2 WR's averaging over 23 yards per catch.
Alabama has a more balanced offense ranking 26th in passing yards per game and 30th in rushing yards per game. QB Blake Sims has 8 TD and 0 INT in his last 3 games and it helps that Alabama has one of if not THE best WR's in the nation in Amari Cooper. Keying on Cooper, who is coming off a 224 receiving yards performance against Tennessee, is obvious, as he has 71 catches for 1,132 yards while the next leading WR has 23 catches for 243 yards.
Bama RB T.J. Yledon, who has rushed for over 100 yards in 2 of his last 4 games, and Derrick Henry have combined for 1,148 rushing yards on the season.
LSU will have to play solid overall defense to score the upset and they rank 63rd in the nation on run defense and 4th in pass defense.
Alabama is 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games, and they have an Over record of 9-4-1 in their last 14 road games.
LSU is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and they have an Under record of 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Alabama is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games at LSU.
In the last 5 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under 4 times.
Point Spread Pick
Don't let Alabama's spread record scare you away on this game. The Auburn Tigers lit up LSU for 41 points and 566 offensive yards and we expect Auburn to have same sort of success. Laying less than a touchdown is a gift.
Our Crew's Pick: Take the Alabama Crimson Tide -6.5 at Bovada and get yourself a 50% bonus on your first deposit!